Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.176171 0.198589 0.222198 0.248860 0.278076 0.309062 0.344351
2025-05-04 0.146227 0.176478 0.210068 0.249944 0.295792 0.346651 0.407129
2025-05-11 0.126949 0.162532 0.203873 0.255043 0.316241 0.386630 0.473234
2025-05-18 0.113025 0.152573 0.200404 0.261802 0.337750 0.427811 0.541803
2025-05-25 0.098139 0.139394 0.191234 0.260083 0.347938 0.455046 0.594108
2025-06-01 0.086527 0.128894 0.184049 0.259614 0.358775 0.482682 0.647191
2025-06-08 0.076698 0.119565 0.177270 0.258655 0.368241 0.508277 0.697985
2025-06-15 0.070614 0.114674 0.175782 0.264193 0.385938 0.544545 0.763140
2025-06-22 0.063649 0.107732 0.170732 0.264219 0.395817 0.570510 0.815305
2025-06-29 0.057521 0.101363 0.165860 0.263909 0.404826 0.595208 0.866133
2025-07-06 0.052131 0.095554 0.161253 0.263467 0.413294 0.619088 0.916196
2025-07-13 0.048214 0.091671 0.159146 0.266366 0.426361 0.649408 0.975589
2025-07-20 0.045465 0.089567 0.159767 0.273586 0.446311 0.690477 1.051844
2025-07-27 0.041710 0.085379 0.156773 0.275025 0.457686 0.719680 1.112287
2025-08-03 0.039184 0.083070 0.156576 0.280686 0.475446 0.758411 1.187114
2025-08-10 0.037211 0.081544 0.157507 0.288076 0.495979 0.801629 1.269352
2025-08-17 0.033779 0.076962 0.152943 0.286263 0.502124 0.823770 1.321579
2025-08-24 0.030913 0.073144 0.149371 0.285781 0.510160 0.848750 1.378363
2025-08-31 0.028242 0.069416 0.145652 0.284758 0.517148 0.872175 1.433235
2025-09-07 0.026828 0.068078 0.146095 0.290754 0.535511 0.913206 1.515085
2025-09-14 0.024715 0.065054 0.143214 0.290787 0.544057 0.939289 1.574974
2025-09-21 0.022744 0.062111 0.140250 0.290453 0.551872 0.964310 1.633669
2025-09-28 0.020928 0.059304 0.137325 0.289976 0.559324 0.988823 1.691988